A Linear Genetic Programming Approach for Modelling Electricity Demand Prediction in Victoria

Maumita Bhattacharya, Ajith Abraham, Baikunth Nath

Research output: Book chapter/Published conference paperChapter (peer-reviewed)peer-review

Abstract

Genetic programming (GP), a relatively young and growing branch of evolutionary computation is gradually proving to be a promising method of modelling complex prediction and classification problems. This paper evaluates the suitability of a linear genetic programming (LGP) technique to predict electricity demand in the State of Victoria, Australia, while comparing its performance with two other popular soft computing techniques. The forecast accuracy is compared with the actual energy demand. To evaluate, we considered load demand patterns for ten consecutive months taken every 30 minutes for training the different prediction models. Test results show that while the linear genetic programming method delivered satisfactory results, the neuro fuzzy system performed best for this particular application problem, in terms of accuracy and computation time, as compared to LGP and neural networks.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationHybrid Information Systems
EditorsA Abraham, M Köppen
Place of PublicationHeidelberg
PublisherPhysica
Pages379-393
Number of pages15
Volume14
ISBN (Electronic)978-3-7908-1782-9
ISBN (Print)978-3-7908-1480-4
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2002

Publication series

NameAdvances in Soft Computing

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