Mapping Scenario Narratives

A Technique to Enhance Landscape-scale Biodiversity Planning

Oberon Carter, Michael Mitchell, Luciana L. Porfririo, Sonia Hugh, Michael Lockwood, Louise Gilfedder, Edward C. Lefroy

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

1 Citation (Scopus)
4 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

Developing regional scenarios enables planners to engage land managers in discussions about the future, especially in contexts that are complex, uncertain and difficult to control. Richly-crafted qualitative narratives are an effective way to document future scenarios that integrate social, economic and biophysical attributes. Converting such narratives into spatial representations of future landscapes often relies on computational modelling. This paper presents an alternative technique. Key themes from scenario narratives are translated into spatial representations using simple rule sets within a Geographic Information System (GIS). The technique was applied to a case study exploring future scenarios for biodiversity in a predominantly privately-owned agricultural landscape. Iterative analysis of scenarios and their spatial implications enables land managers to explore outcomes from potential interventions and identify strategies that might mitigate the impact of future issues of environmental concern.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)179-188
Number of pages10
JournalConservation and Society
Volume15
Issue number2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 01 Apr 2017

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managers
planning
biodiversity
geographic information systems
socioeconomics
agricultural land
case studies
methodology
economics
modeling
land
geographic information system
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attribute

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Carter, O., Mitchell, M., Porfririo, L. L., Hugh, S., Lockwood, M., Gilfedder, L., & Lefroy, E. C. (2017). Mapping Scenario Narratives: A Technique to Enhance Landscape-scale Biodiversity Planning. Conservation and Society, 15(2), 179-188. https://doi.org/10.4103/cs.cs_15_121
Carter, Oberon ; Mitchell, Michael ; Porfririo, Luciana L. ; Hugh, Sonia ; Lockwood, Michael ; Gilfedder, Louise ; Lefroy, Edward C. / Mapping Scenario Narratives : A Technique to Enhance Landscape-scale Biodiversity Planning. In: Conservation and Society. 2017 ; Vol. 15, No. 2. pp. 179-188.
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Carter, O, Mitchell, M, Porfririo, LL, Hugh, S, Lockwood, M, Gilfedder, L & Lefroy, EC 2017, 'Mapping Scenario Narratives: A Technique to Enhance Landscape-scale Biodiversity Planning', Conservation and Society, vol. 15, no. 2, pp. 179-188. https://doi.org/10.4103/cs.cs_15_121

Mapping Scenario Narratives : A Technique to Enhance Landscape-scale Biodiversity Planning. / Carter, Oberon; Mitchell, Michael; Porfririo, Luciana L.; Hugh, Sonia; Lockwood, Michael; Gilfedder, Louise; Lefroy, Edward C.

In: Conservation and Society, Vol. 15, No. 2, 01.04.2017, p. 179-188.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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