The impact of future climate change on the contribution of legume fixed N to the subsequent crop in the rainfed cropping systems in Southern Australia

Hongtao Xing, Mark Richards, Guangdi Li, Rohan Brill, De Li Liu, Allison Blake, Deb Slinger

Research output: Book chapter/Published conference paperConference paper

Abstract

Legume crops are one of key rotation components in agricultural systems, supplying nitrogen (N) to following crops and potentially increasing farm profitability. However, with the increasing atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations, Australia will become warmer and dryer in the future. This greatly threatens Australian crop production and brings uncertain impacts on the profitability of adding legumes into non-legume crop sequences. In this study, we optimised the crop model, APSIM, using 4-year experimental data, collected in Wagga Wagga, New South Wales, Australia. The optimised model was then used to predict lupin biological N2 fixation (BNF) and the contribution of fixed N to the subsequent canola under historical and future climatic conditions in the rainfed cropping systems. The simulation results showed that, when there was no N fertilizer applied to canola in lupin-canola rotations, BNF increased about 3% by 2071-2100 under the higher greenhouse gas emission scenario, comparing to 1961-2000. This results in about 20% of increase in the contribution of lupin fixed N to the subsequent canola seasons (NC). However, these benefits will be reduced to zero when N fertilizer applied in canola seasons is over 40 kg N/ha for BNF and 60 kg N/ha for NC, respectively, by 2071-2100 for RCP8.5. This indicates that future climate change would enhance the N contribution of legume fixed N to subsequent crops only when the non-legume crops received lower N fertilizer in the legume added rotation cropping systems.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 19th Australian Agronomy Conference
Subtitle of host publicationCells to satellites
PublisherAustralian Society for Agronomy
Pages1-4
Number of pages4
Publication statusPublished - 2019
Event19th Australian Agronomy Conference - Wagga Wagga Civic Theatre, Wagga Wagga, Australia
Duration: 25 Aug 201929 Aug 2019
http://agronomyconference.com/
https://www.agronomyaustralia.org/conference-proceedings (proceedings)

Conference

Conference19th Australian Agronomy Conference
Abbreviated titleCells to Satellites
CountryAustralia
CityWagga Wagga
Period25/08/1929/08/19
OtherThe 19th Australian Agronomy Conference will be held in Wagga Wagga, NSW from
25 – 29 August 2019. In the heart of the Riverina, Wagga Wagga has a range of rural industries across the region. Wagga has everything to offer the agronomy conference being surrounded by a mixed farming zone with irrigation to the west and permanent pasture enterprises to the east.
The conference theme Cells to satellites highlights the integrative nature of agronomy. Each of us work across a range of disciplines to optimise crop or pasture production for productivity and profitability. We have an increasing number of tools available to increase the precision and accuracy of our work; whether it is at the “cellular” level where DNA is mapped and biochemistry is unravelled or using “satellites” for remote sensing or guidance. The opportunities for enhancing our agronomy research is boundless.
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    Xing, H., Richards, M., Li, G., Brill, R., Li Liu, D., Blake, A., & Slinger, D. (2019). The impact of future climate change on the contribution of legume fixed N to the subsequent crop in the rainfed cropping systems in Southern Australia. In Proceedings of the 19th Australian Agronomy Conference: Cells to satellites (pp. 1-4). Australian Society for Agronomy.